Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most likely to give the winner their 270th Electoral College vote. Use the table ...

Nate Silver joins The Lead ...

Nate Silver, the statistician and founder of polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, issued good news for Vice President Kamala ...

Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast.

Many polls show Vice President Kamala Harris holds a small lead nationally over former President Trump less than 50 days out ...

Nate Silver’s new book “ On The Edge: The Art of Risking Everything ” hit bookstores Aug. 13 and, well, I had to jump it to ...

Nate Silver declared that Vice President Kamala Harris "blew" a "big opportunity" by not picking PA Governor Josh Shapiro to ...

Nate Silver predicted Trump has a 64% chance of winning the electoral college on Sunday in an update to his latest election forecast, following the results of new poll.

Immediately after Tuesday's debate, Harris challenged Trump to a rematch. But Trump is refusing to take part in another debate.

Pollster Nate Silver warned in a post on the social platform X that the Trump campaign has made four “huge mistakes” this ...

The vice president has been on a polling hot streak since her debate against Former President Donald Trump last week.

Despite nationwide polls pointing to a slight edge for Kamala Harris in the presidential race, prominent polling data analyst ...